Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 47.429659 53.361807 59.546145 66.457263 73.947559 81.803184 90.647429
2024-10-27 36.255784 44.588549 53.832524 64.770415 77.279928 91.062438 107.315432
2024-11-03 32.164082 41.996302 53.359921 67.304908 83.792582 102.503804 125.175448
2024-11-10 28.572007 39.354386 52.273633 68.631450 88.519168 111.645532 140.288052
2024-11-17 25.120834 36.397599 50.372086 68.579231 91.275971 118.241468 152.280778
2024-11-24 23.416186 35.413723 50.706215 71.103457 97.048571 128.404042 168.581247
2024-12-01 20.927491 33.119098 49.123778 70.991830 99.381735 134.282042 179.667328
2024-12-08 18.496028 30.648962 47.080782 70.071185 100.514577 138.554901 188.720536
2024-12-15 16.708741 28.903581 45.847736 70.070849 102.719650 144.108810 199.363879
2024-12-22 15.140164 27.321060 44.700362 70.062492 104.822820 149.486866 209.794551
2024-12-29 14.551673 27.149817 45.500396 72.708079 110.475673 159.500032 226.260441
2025-01-05 13.508019 26.174427 45.058514 73.554031 113.665943 166.313194 238.669419
2025-01-12 12.428583 25.078079 44.407172 74.114895 116.541159 172.861073 250.991944
2025-01-19 10.845313 23.006243 42.155837 72.244374 115.956825 174.762677 257.236745
2025-01-26 10.504274 23.001652 43.055781 74.998747 121.894401 185.495031 275.282214
2025-02-02 9.898159 22.474676 43.091103 76.435068 125.959912 193.727436 290.089010
2025-02-09 9.036014 21.403325 42.182235 76.378667 127.839986 198.963258 300.910938
2025-02-16 8.794369 21.453239 43.086091 79.112274 133.809334 209.912276 319.583412
2025-02-23 8.038674 20.454494 42.189125 78.991432 135.559243 214.996459 330.318709
2025-03-02 7.200995 19.205975 40.786710 77.994609 135.948707 218.140465 338.398103
2025-03-09 6.602105 18.372987 40.039728 77.994246 137.797365 223.338708 349.341271
2025-03-16 6.053244 17.583976 39.315914 77.985196 139.604628 228.476620 360.236699
2025-03-23 5.959099 17.763588 40.327145 80.848998 145.848256 240.048533 380.235203